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Market Interpretation
Markets are pricing in stable rates. The Fed Funds futures suggest traders expect the Fed to hold rates steady.
Last updated: 5/12/2026, 6:28:15 AM
Data Source: CME ZQ (Fed Funds Futures) contracts via Databento. This represents market expectations, not Fed guidance or forecasts.
Current Regime
Expansion
Confidence
78%
Strong GDP growth (3.2%) with moderate inflation (2.8%). Expansion phase.
GDP Growth
3.20%
Unemployment
3.9%
Inflation
2.8%
5-Year Regime History
Regime Stability
Current regime has been stable for 45 days. Watch for changes in inflation trends.
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